UPCOMING EVENTS

Energy Roundtable
Thursday July 14th at 9:30 AM
New York, NY

- Featuring former Shell CEO John Hofmeister and Managing Partner at Azuolas Risk Advisors Steve Maloney

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

LogMeIn: Maintaining a Sell Short Recommendation

A New York presenter maintains a conviction short on LogMeIn (NASDAQ: LOGM, $34.87). He stresses that the number of customers the company is adding outside its main product, the Ignition application, has been declining. These customers carry more value, since the accounts generate recurring revenues, as opposed to a one-time fee the company collects for Ignition. Furthermore, Ignition reviews continue to point to free alternatives. Finally, Windows 7 has a built-in functionality duplicating what Ignition does.

Monday, February 28, 2011

Schweitzer-Mauduit: Will Gain from Increased LIP Adoption

A Boston presenter likes Schweitzer-Mauduit (NYSE: SWM, $55.76) at this level. The company is the global leader in reconstituted tobacco products and low ignition paper. LIP is much safer than the regular product and as such is being mandated into use by regulatory authorities around the world. The European market, where LIP adoption is slowly gathering pace, is a very important growth opportunity for the company. SWM has a clean balance sheet and is on track to generate $100 million in FCF this year, following its multi-year manufacturing rationalization. Clarity over licensing arrangements for LIP in Europe and long-term demand for RTL will be the near-term catalysts.

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Lufkin Industries: Pump Alternatives and Cheaper Competition Threaten Position

A New York presenter recommends a short on Lufkin Industries (NASDAQ: LUFK, $74.12). The company is a high-cost manufacturer with limited capacity to compete on price. There are a number of alternatives to its main product beam pumps, which have traditionally been the product of choice in artificial lift. Competing pumps work at a wider range of depths and are capable of handling higher volumes. There is also a growing threat from Chinese manufacturers that are able to sell the product significantly cheaper. The quality of the imported product has improved substantially as well. The presenter believes the downside can reach 20% from the current level, based on 6x his estimate for LUFK's peak EBITDA.

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

KVH Industries: Recurring Revenues on Verge of Ramping Up

A New York presenter likes KVH Industries' prospects (NASDAQ: KVHI, $14.26). This provider of mobile communication services for commercial ships worldwide has completed an initial buildout of its marine global network and is now able to deliver internet and mobile services for the vast majority of shipping routes. KVHI has the most compact and the easiest to install system in the space. Recurring airtime revenues are the best part of the story. KVH's system has been installed on 1,000 ships so far, but the total market opportunity is 130,000 ships. At $2,000/month/unit, incremental earnings from airtime charges can add up very quickly. A recent new contract with Coast Guard underscores the advantages of KVH's offering and boosts the company's credibility.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Nordion: Resumption in Isotope Supply and New Sources Boost Prospects

A New York presenter recommends Nordion (NYSE: NDE, $11.64) as a buy. This provider of medical isotopes, targeted therapies, and sterilization technologies has seen its share of the isotope market fall drastically, due to interruptions in supply from the NRU reactor in Canada. In August, the reactor resumed operation after a prolonged shutdown. NDZ has also reached an agreement with a Russian-based producer to diversify its sources. Sales in the company's two other segments have been expanding at a rapid pace. Nordion has just announced a $0.40 dividend and a very sizable stock buyback. Resolution of the arbitration with the Canadian government expected in 2H 2011 can be a significant catalyst.

Roulston Retail Chair Discussing Retail in Media

Craig Johnson, President, Customer Growth Partners and Chair of Roulston Research Retail Group, has recently been quoted in various media outlets, discussing the outlook for some individual companies in the retail space. Please use the links below to hear his thoughts.

http://www.chainstoreage.com/article/reinvented-department-stores-and-malls-see-robust-rebound

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-09/johnson-discusses-increase-in-shopping-mall-spending-audio.html

http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/retail/2011-02-12-walmart-comeback_N.htm

http://retailtrafficmag.com/charts/dept_stores_resilience_02152011/#

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Palomar Medical: Entering Direct to Consumer Market

A New York presenter is bullish on Palomar Medical Technologies' prospects (NASDAQ: PMTI, $16.16). The company is seeing encouraging signs in its core business of selling skin treatment products and systems to medical practioners, but the attraction of the story is PMTI's recent entrance into direct to consumer skin rejuvenation space. The company's PaloVia wrinkle-reducing product started selling on QVC two months ago, and the initial results have exceeded internal expectations. Management sees the product going mainstream in the not so distant future, based on its cost, efficacy and relative ease of application. Potential upside in the $16 billion domestic skin beauty market is very significant. Depending on the number of treatments sold, incremental earnings from PaloVia can reach $1-2/share.